SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 55.54%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 22.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
22.66% ( 0.02) | 21.79% ( 0.19) | 55.54% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0.86) | 38.99% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.69% ( -0.91) | 61.31% ( 0.91) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( -0.46) | 30.57% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( -0.55) | 66.8% ( 0.54) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -0.36) | 13.98% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.51% ( -0.7) | 41.49% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 22.66% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.54% |
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