SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
37.45% ( -0.83) | 26.88% ( -0.18) | 35.67% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( 0.81) | 53.91% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( 0.68) | 75.37% ( -0.68) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.09) | 27.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( -0.12) | 63.47% ( 0.12) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( 1.03) | 28.92% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( 1.26) | 64.8% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.67% |
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