SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | RFC Seraing |
55.69% ( -0.2) | 23.85% ( -0.01) | 20.46% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.31) | 50.6% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( 0.27) | 72.52% ( -0.27) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( 0.04) | 18.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( 0.06) | 48.9% ( -0.06) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.78% ( 0.41) | 39.22% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.07% ( 0.38) | 75.93% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | RFC Seraing |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.69% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.46% |
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