SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Genk |
19.25% ( -0.83) | 22.27% ( 0.18) | 58.47% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( -1.99) | 45.67% ( 1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( -1.92) | 67.99% ( 1.91) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -2.01) | 37.66% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.56% ( -2.02) | 74.44% ( 2.02) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( -0.46) | 15.3% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.98% ( -0.88) | 44.02% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Genk |
| 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.25% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.52)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.46% |
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