SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Mechelen |
28.87% ( -0.01) | 24.48% ( 0.01) | 46.65% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.72% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -0.04) | 45.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.04) | 68.09% ( 0.03) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.03) | 29.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( -0.04) | 65.33% ( 0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.01) | 19.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( -0.02) | 51.74% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 28.87% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 46.65% |
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