SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mechelen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
46.61% ( 0.01) | 25.03% ( -0.01) | 28.36% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( 0.03) | 48.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( 0.03) | 70.63% ( -0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.02) | 20.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( 0.02) | 53.53% ( -0.02) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 0.02) | 31.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( 0.02) | 67.45% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.36% |
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