SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Eupen |
50.44% ( 0.01) | 23.99% ( -0.01) | 25.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.02) | 45.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( 0.02) | 68.27% ( -0.02) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0.02) | 18.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( 0.02) | 49.32% ( -0.02) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.01) | 31.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( 0.01) | 68.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Eupen |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 25.57% |
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