SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Union SG |
18.42% ( -0.05) | 22.32% ( -0.04) | 59.26% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.06) | 47.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( 0.06) | 69.32% ( -0.06) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% ( -0.03) | 39.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.9% ( -0.02) | 76.1% ( 0.02) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.05) | 15.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( 0.09) | 44.43% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.42% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.61% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.25% |
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