SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Mechelen | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Standard Liege | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Westerlo | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | KV Oostende | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Eupen | 6 | -5 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Standard Liege in this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | KV Oostende |
44.17% ( -1) | 25.71% ( 0.39) | 30.12% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( -1.37) | 50.43% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( -1.22) | 72.37% ( 1.23) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -1.05) | 22.76% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -1.57) | 56.45% ( 1.58) |
| KV Oostende Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.26) | 30.84% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( -0.31) | 67.12% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | KV Oostende |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.12% |
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