Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.