Atletico Goianiense have struggled at both ends of the pitch all-season long, and it is hard to see them coming out on top here. That said, we can see them battling hard to secure a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.2) 
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