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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
AM

Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro


Rojo (39'), Pavon (45+5')
FT

Zaracho (39'), Rodrigues de Souza (66'), Vargas (89'), Hulk (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Mineiro
40.84%25.2%33.97%
Both teams to score 56.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07%46.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82%69.18%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15%22.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42%56.58%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41%26.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18%61.82%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 40.84%
    Atletico Mineiro 33.97%
    Draw 25.19%
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.97%

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