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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 0
Boca Juniors

Atletico Mineiro win 3-1 on penalties

Fernandez (59'), Silva (74'), Hulk (90+3')
FT

Weigandt (59'), Sandez (78'), Rojo (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawBoca Juniors
53.93%25.71%20.35%
Both teams to score 44.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.34%57.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58%78.42%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54%21.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52%54.48%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59%43.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37%79.63%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 53.93%
    Boca Juniors 20.35%
    Draw 25.71%
Atletico MineiroDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.33%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 4.72%
4-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.93%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.35%

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