Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
