Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
