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Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Oct 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
G

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Gremio

Pikachu (79')
Robson (45+3'), Felipe (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruan (81'), Everton (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawGremio
40.4%28%31.6%
Both teams to score 47.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.21%58.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.69%79.31%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72%64.28%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89%34.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2%70.8%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 40.4%
    Gremio 31.59%
    Draw 28%
FortalezaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 40.4%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.59%

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