Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.