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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Oct 6, 2021 at 11pm UK
Arena Conda
AM

Chapecoense
2 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Geuvanio (28'), Mike (70' pen.)
Junior (44'), Keiller (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Borrero (19'), Sasha (83')
Silva (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
ChapecoenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
19.32%24.69%55.99%
Both teams to score 45.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.42%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62%79.39%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36%19.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39%51.61%
Score Analysis
    Chapecoense 19.32%
    Atletico Mineiro 55.99%
    Draw 24.69%
ChapecoenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 3%
3-1 @ 1.37%
3-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.32%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 13.78%
0-2 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.99%

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