Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
