Bahia
1 - 3
Sao Paulo

Clayson (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luciano (52', 74'), Arboleda (66')
Sara (47'), Alves (48')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Sao Paulo
39.05%	26.37%	34.57%

Both teams to score 52.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08%

51.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33%

73.67%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98%

26.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94%

61.05%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37%

28.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.56%

64.44%

Score Analysis

Bahia 39.04%

Sao Paulo 34.57%

Draw 26.37%

Bahia	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.04%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.57%