SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Corinthians |
| 44.04% | 28.74% | 27.21% |
| Both teams to score 43.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.21% | 62.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.69% | 82.31% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.27% | 39.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.59% | 76.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 14.2% 2-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.25% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.59% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.21% |
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