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SP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
C

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Corinthians

Calleri (7')
Liziero (43'), Neves (61'), Arboleda (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Victor (43'), Guedes (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCorinthians
44.04%28.74%27.21%
Both teams to score 43.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.21%62.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.69%82.31%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57%28.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82%64.18%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27%39.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59%76.41%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 44.04%
    Corinthians 27.21%
    Draw 28.74%
Sao PauloDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.2%
2-0 @ 8.94%
2-1 @ 8.25%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 27.21%

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