Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
