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Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 9, 2021 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada
B

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Bahia


Nikao (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
55.74%25.38%18.89%
Both teams to score 43.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91%58.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24%78.76%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11%20.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4%53.6%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69%45.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82%81.18%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 55.73%
    Bahia 18.89%
    Draw 25.38%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 14.82%
2-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 4.8%
4-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 55.73%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.49%
1-2 @ 4.64%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 18.89%

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