Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 44.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 1-0 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.