Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.