Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
