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SP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
BL

Sao Paulo
4 - 0
Botafogo

Brenner (10', 27'), Reinaldo (45+3' pen.), Hernanes (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Raul (11'), Forster (45+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Botafogo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 14.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
64.15%21.69%14.16%
Both teams to score 44.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25%51.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48%73.52%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51%15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62%44.38%
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.22%47.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.93%83.07%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 64.15%
    Botafogo 14.16%
    Draw 21.69%
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.8%
2-0 @ 12.87%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 5.91%
4-0 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 64.15%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.47%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 14.16%

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