Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
0.39) 
-0.3) 
