Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.35) 
