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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio da Madeira
BL

Sao Paulo
vs.
Botafogo

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Quarter-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Botafogo vs. Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Botafogo vs. Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw has a probability of 26.9% and a win for Botafogo has a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Botafogo win it is 0-1 (8.82%).

Result
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
48.77% (-0.726 -0.73) 26.92% (0.244 0.24) 24.31% (0.487 0.49)
Both teams to score 45.68% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58% (-0.476 -0.48)58.42% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (-0.373 -0.37)79.02% (0.378 0.38)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)24.05% (0.545 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (-0.779 -0.78)58.33% (0.783 0.78)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (0.19 0.19)39.85% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (0.173 0.17)76.52% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 48.76%
    Botafogo 24.31%
    Draw 26.92%
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 48.76%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.31%

Form Guide
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, August 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Nacional
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 1 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 1 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-2 Botafogo
Thursday, August 22 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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