Fogo have won countless one-goal games in the Brazilian top-flight this season, and we trust their consistency against Brasileiro opposition will continue in midweek and carry them into the final four of this tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Botafogo
45.65% ( -0.22)	27.6% ( 0.33)	26.75% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.75% (

-1.22)

59.25% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.34% (

-0.95)

79.66% (

0.95)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.66)

25.93% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.9)

60.93% (

0.91)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.85% (

-0.77)

38.15% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.09% (

-0.75)

74.91% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 45.64%

Botafogo 26.75%

Draw 27.59%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.75%