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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Botafogo |
43.86% ( 0.53) | 27.77% ( 0.19) | 28.37% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 46.34% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.92% ( -0.98) | 59.08% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.47% ( -0.76) | 79.53% ( 0.76) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.18) | 26.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.95% ( -0.24) | 62.05% ( 0.24) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( -1.09) | 36.72% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.49% ( -1.11) | 73.51% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fluminense | Draw | Botafogo |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.37% |
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