Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
0.53) 
-0.72) 
