Botafogo's rise to the summit of the league standings has been nothing short of remarkable, and they will enter this match brimming with confidence, unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
Additionally, the hosts are riding a four-match winning streak at Estadio Nilton Santos and we feel they will extend that record with another victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.07) 
