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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Criciuma win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Criciuma | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
25.16% ( -2.74) | 25.38% ( -1.51) | 49.45% ( 4.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( 2.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.91% ( 4.01) | 52.08% ( -4.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( 3.36) | 73.81% ( -3.36) |
| Criciuma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.1) | 35.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% ( -0.11) | 72.35% ( 0.1) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( 3.64) | 21.08% ( -3.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( 5.38) | 53.89% ( -5.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Criciuma | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -1.34) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 4% ( -0.71)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.25)Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.64) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -1.27)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.53)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.74)0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.73)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.38)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.45)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.44)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.45% |
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