Although the sides are currently level on points, we think that Bragantino will draw upon home advantage to edge out Botafogo, which would give the hosts a third consecutive home victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.48) 
0.49) 
