Although Cuiaba enter the contest in the relegation zone, they have emerged victorious from the last two home meetings with Bragantino, and we think that they will manage to edge out the visitors on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 41.65%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.08) 
