Although Bragantino are beginning to turn their fortunes around, Athletico Paranaense are enjoying an impressive run of form of their own and will be considered as the favourites for Saturday's contest.
Goals are to be expected at the Arena da Baixada, but we can see the hosts securing all three points to keep them in touch with the top two.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
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