Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
