Gremio
2 - 4
Flamengo

Souza (40', 85')
Souza (19'), Barbosa (46'), Kannemann (71'), Henrique (87'), Pinares (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ribeiro (57'), Barbosa (60'), De Arrascaeta (66'), Isla (90+3')
Henrique (26'), Henrique (55'), Vitinho (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Flamengo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Flamengo
30.65%	26.16%	43.19%

Both teams to score 52.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94%

52.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21%

73.79%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7%

31.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35%

67.65%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06%

23.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.83%

58.17%

Score Analysis

Gremio 30.65%

Flamengo 43.18%

Draw 26.16%

Gremio	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.65%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.18%