SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Bragantino |
| 40.6% | 26.2% | 33.19% |
| Both teams to score 53.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% | 51.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% | 73.26% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% | 24.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.63% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% | 29.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.75% | 65.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.19% |
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