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Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Jan 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Diogao
VD

Bragantino
4 - 1
Vasco

Ramires (15'), Claudinho (72', 86'), Hurtado (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pec (78')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawVasco da Gama
52.32%25.12%22.55%
Both teams to score 48.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66%53.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12%74.88%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61%20.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2%52.8%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34%38.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6%75.39%
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 52.32%
    Vasco da Gama 22.55%
    Draw 25.12%
BragantinoDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.49%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.55%

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