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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Castelao
SP

Ceara
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Chu (47')
Vinicius (60'), Tiago (61'), Chu (66'), Xavier (90+2'), Sobral (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diego (11')
Reinaldo (61'), Luan (64'), Diego (87')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawSao Paulo
36.22%26.19%37.58%
Both teams to score 53.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98%51.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.88%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8%27.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38%62.61%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.59%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 36.22%
    Sao Paulo 37.58%
    Draw 26.19%
CearaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.22%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.58%


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