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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Sep 25, 2021 at 9pm UK
Castelao
C

Ceara
1 - 0
Chapecoense

Jael (53' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ribeiro (34'), Jordan (44'), Lima (56')
Jordan (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawChapecoense
50.85%26.34%22.81%
Both teams to score 45.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46%57.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67%78.33%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59%56.41%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.21%40.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.63%77.37%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 50.84%
    Chapecoense 22.81%
    Draw 26.33%
CearaDrawChapecoense
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.12%
3-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50.84%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.81%

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