Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Chapecoense
53.1%	26.16%	20.74%

Both teams to score 43.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.19%

58.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68%

79.32%

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26%

55.74%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.34%

43.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.16%

79.84%

Score Analysis

Bragantino 53.09%

Chapecoense 20.74%

Draw 26.16%

Bragantino	Draw	Chapecoense
1-0 @ 14.6% 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 4.55% 4-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.76% Total : 53.09%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.04% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.74%