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Thursday, November 21
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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Sep 18, 2021 at 9pm UK
Arena Conda
P

Chapecoense
0 - 2
Palmeiras


Leite (41'), Silva (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Veiga (10'), Adriano (28')
de Paula (4'), Melo (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
ChapecoenseDrawPalmeiras
27.92%27.57%44.5%
Both teams to score 46.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.42%58.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86%79.14%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19%36.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4%73.59%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.29%
Score Analysis
    Chapecoense 27.92%
    Palmeiras 44.5%
    Draw 27.57%
ChapecoenseDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.92%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 12.91%
0-2 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-3 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-4 @ 1.29%
1-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 44.5%

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