SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Ceara |
| 46.37% | 27.5% | 26.13% |
| Both teams to score 45.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.77% | 59.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% | 79.65% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% | 25.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.57% | 60.44% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.33% | 38.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.59% | 75.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Ceara |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.13% |
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