Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.