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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Aug 17, 2021 at 12am UK
Arena Conda
AM

Chapecoense
1 - 1
America Mineiro

Leite (87')
Kadu (21')
Kadu (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodolfo (90+3')
Ruschel (17')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
ChapecoenseDrawAmerica Mineiro
34.41%28.18%37.41%
Both teams to score 47.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.01%58.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.54%79.46%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24%68.76%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45%66.55%
Score Analysis
    Chapecoense 34.4%
    America Mineiro 37.4%
    Draw 28.17%
ChapecoenseDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 7.47%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.4%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 6.96%
1-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.4%

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