SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Bahia |
| 53.48% | 25.8% | 20.72% |
| Both teams to score 44.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.43% | 57.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% | 78.35% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% | 21.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.28% | 54.72% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.05% | 42.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.75% | 79.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.1% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.72% |
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