Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
