Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
