Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 46.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
