Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
