Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
