Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
