Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Goias had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
