SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Criciuma |
67.31% ( -4.24) | 20.22% ( 2) | 12.46% ( 2.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.96% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( -2.7) | 49.43% ( 2.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -2.48) | 71.47% ( 2.47) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% ( -2.03) | 13.75% ( 2.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.97% ( -4.17) | 41.02% ( 4.16) |
| Criciuma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.97% ( 2.37) | 49.02% ( -2.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.03% ( 1.63) | 83.97% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Criciuma |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.58)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 8.78% ( -1.11)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.33)4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.95)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.54)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.42% Total : 67.3% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.93) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.79) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.38)Other @ 2.55% Total : 12.46% |
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